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| February 25 Commentary |
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Bonds
The two portfolio Pro Picks bonds should have been bought on the secondary market. Twelve to 16 month maturities yield would be higher than 12 to 16 month T-notes. The potential risk would essentially be the same since both are backed by the faith of the U.S. government. If you bought long-term maturities, hold them until the Fed raises its Fed Funds Rate to 1.25 percent. Then, sell and buy the same bonds on the secondary market for about a one year maturity. The gain from owning the long-term bond for approximately one year should more than make up for the cost of commission.
Gold and Silver
I expect precious metals (including silver) will benefit from fear and a global breakdown in currencies. Later, deficit spending, taken to stabilize these currencies, will lead to inflation. The first phase, fear and anxiety, will be discounted by gold, some silver and/or a gold backed currency Swiss annuity investment (min. $20,000). The second phase, the final phase, will increase deficit spending to keep the dollar from falling into currency implosion. The solution: buy gold and a gold backed currency Swiss annuity investment (min. $20,000). For more information on a Swiss annuity, e-mail Kenneth Coleman at net2host2@roadrunner.com.
Global Economy
Germany: Market sentiment falls to a 26-year low (the world was recovering from an inflationary recession in late 1982).
China: The Chinese economy should drop to about 5.5 percent GDP. That is about a 50 percent plunge from past highs, which translates to at least a couple hundred million unemployed Chinese workers. Chinese workers have not yet realized this, but soon will. Riots will unfold as hungry workers look for government relief. The slowdown in Chinese production will spread to other Asian nations that support and depend on the Chinese economy. Eventually, these nations will be forced to seek relief from China. The other option is violent riots with murderous repercussions.
G-20: G-20 industrial nations meet April 2. We hope their leaders intend to find a realistic solution to the current crisis.
Sincerely,
Kenneth Coleman
| Past Commentaries |
| January 30, 2009 |
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| October 10, 2008 |
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| September 22, 2008 |
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| July 18, 2008 |
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| May 27, 2008 |
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| April 28, 2008 |
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| March 18, 2008 |
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| January 15, 2008 |
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| November 28, 2007 |
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| September 24, 2007 |
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| August 23, 2007 |
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| July 27, 2007 |
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| June 27, 2007 |
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| May 17, 2007 |
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| April 30, 2007 |
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| February 24, 2007 |
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| January 25, 2007 |
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| December 11, 2006 |
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| November 27, 2006 |
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| October 23, 2006 |
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| September 05, 2006 |
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| August 17, 2006 |
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| June 26, 2006 |
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| May 29, 2006 |
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| May 5, 2006 |
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| April 20, 2006 |
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| April 06, 2006 |
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| January 25, 2006 |
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| December 22, 2005 |
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| November 17, 2005 |
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| October 10, 2005 |
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| September 19, 2005 |
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| August 15, 2005 |
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| July 13, 2005 |
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| June 13, 2005 |
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| May 17, 2005 |
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| March 14, 2005 |
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| November 30, 2004 |
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| November 5, 2004 |
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| October 8, 2004 |
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| August 11, 2004 |
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| June 29, 2004 |
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| May 19, 2004 |
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| April 26, 2004 |
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| March 20, 2004 |
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| February 25, 2004 |
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| February 2, 2004 |
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| December 29, 2003 |
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| December 8, 2003 |
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| November 5, 2003 |
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| September 29, 2003 |
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| July 31, 2003 |
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| June 23, 2003 |
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| June 09, 2003 |
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| May 19, 2003 |
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| April 3, 2003 |
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| March 10, 2003 |
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| February 19, 2003 |
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| January 31, 2003 |
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| January 3, 2003 |
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| November 27, 2002 |
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| October 8, 2002 |
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| September 18, 2002 |
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| August 26, 2002 |
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| August 5, 2002 |
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| June 28, 2002 |
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| June 17, 2002 |
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| March 8, 2002 |
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| February 14, 2002 |
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| February 11, 2002 |
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| January 7, 2002 |
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| December 10, 2001 |
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| November 28, 2001 |
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| November 15, 2001 |
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| October 31, 2001 |
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