Wednesday, February 08, 2012


 
October 21, 2011

Chinese Lobby Aims to Trash Congress' Attempt to End Currency Manipulation

China's GDP has grown more than 7 percent over the past 25 years. China sells four times as many goods in our economy than we do in theirs. China sells $218 billion in goods to the U.S. every year whereas the U.S. only sells $57 billion to China, most of which is fast food like KFC, McDonald's, Burger King and Dunkin Donuts, to name a few. This trade imbalance, of course, has had a play on America's current economic and unemployment woes.

Between 1990 and 2008, the number of employed workers in the U.S. grew from 122 million to 149 million. On the surface that sounds great, but not so much when you consider the fact that 98 percent of this job growth was in the service industry and other sectors that produce goods that must be consumed domestically. For instance, the government and the health care industry together created 10 million new jobs between 1990 and 2008, just under 40 percent of the total number of jobs created during that period. Construction oriented jobs also flourished during this time.

Meanwhile, the manufacturing, engineering and consulting services sectors, which accounted for 24 million jobs in 1990, grew only 600,000 jobs between 1990 and 2008. An agreement between the U.S. and China was devised and quietly implemented in the early 1990s. Since then, manufacturing jobs have moved abroad because it is significantly cheaper to produce abroad than on U.S. soil. China has kept its currency value at about 40 percent below its free market value over the past 20 years.

The free trade open market system works outside the parameters of any kind of central authority. Consequently, there has never been a development or establishment of rules and regulations that typically govern economic systems. Therefore, there are no real consequences or penalties for currency manipulators. The system futilely relies on an honor system, a system that is no longer valued in today's global economic climate. However, if the proposed Currency Exchange Rate Oversight Reform Act (S.1619) is passed, the U.S. will have gained the legality of labeling China a currency manipulator.

The Currency Exchange Rate Oversight Reform Act is not a 21st century version of the protectionist 1930s Smoot-Hawley Act. This bill was designed to solve the issue surrounding China's currency manipulation and be World Trade Organization (WTO) legal. If the bill is passed, then maybe the proper recourse-slapping the Chinese with tariffs-can begin. Nonetheless, I am more than certain the Chinese government will do everything within its power to counter U.S. sponsored international legislation.

This brings us to my next point of contention: the infiltration of foreign lobbyists in Congress. It is extremely naïve these days to think Washington politicians are not influenced by foreign lobbyists. The frightening truth is many U.S. Congressmen are on China's payroll. So, even if the Currency Exchange Reform Act is passed, it will most likely be a weak, watered down version that will allow China little regulation and a lot of wiggle room.

Sincerely,
Kenneth Coleman

Past Commentaries
September 20, 2011 September 20, Commentary
August 25, 2011 August 25, Commentary
July 18, 2011 July 18, Commentary
June 15, 2011 June 15, Commentary
April 12, 2011 April 12, Commentary
January 31, 2011 January 31, Commentary
January 25, 2011 January 25, Commentary
October 04, 2010 October 04, Commentary
May 12, 2010 May 12, Commentary
February 25, 2009 February 25, Commentary
January 30, 2009 January 30, Commentary
October 10, 2008 October 10, Commentary
September 22, 2008 September 22, Commentary
July 18, 2008 July 18, Commentary
May 27, 2008 May 27, Commentary
April 28, 2008 April 28, Commentary
March 18, 2008 March 18, Commentary
January 15, 2008 January 15, Commentary
November 28, 2007 November 28, Commentary
September 24, 2007 September 24, Commentary
August 23, 2007 August 23, Commentary
July 27, 2007 July 27, Commentary
June 27, 2007 June 27, Commentary
May 17, 2007 May 17, Commentary
April 30, 2007 April 30, Commentary
February 24, 2007 February 24, Commentary
January 25, 2007 January 25, Commentary
December 11, 2006 December 11, Commentary
November 27, 2006 November 27, Commentary
October 23, 2006 October 23, Commentary
September 05, 2006 September 05, Commentary
August 17, 2006 August 17, Commentary
June 26, 2006 June 26, Commentary
May 29, 2006 May 29, Commentary
May 5, 2006 May 5, Commentary
April 20, 2006 April 20, Commentary
April 06, 2006 April 06, Commentary
January 25, 2006 January 25, Commentary
December 22, 2005 December 22, Commentary
November 17, 2005 November 17, Commentary
October 10, 2005 October 10, Commentary
September 19, 2005 September 19, Commentary
August 15, 2005 August 15, Commentary
July 13, 2005 July 13, Commentary
June 13, 2005 June 13, Commentary
May 17, 2005 May 17, Commentary
March 14, 2005 March 14, Commentary
November 30, 2004 November 30, Commentary
November 5, 2004 November 5, Commentary
October 8, 2004 October 8, Commentary
August 11, 2004 August 11, Commentary
June 29, 2004 June 29, Commentary
May 19, 2004 May 19, Commentary
April 26, 2004 April 26, Commentary
March 20, 2004 March 20, Commentary
February 25, 2004 February 25, Commentary
February 2, 2004 February 2, Commentary
December 29, 2003 December 29 Commentary
December 8, 2003 December 8 Commentary
November 5, 2003 November 5 Commentary
September 29, 2003 September 29 Commentary
July 31, 2003 July 31 Commentary
June 23, 2003 June 23 Commentary
June 09, 2003 June 09 Commentary
May 19, 2003 May 19 Commentary
April 3, 2003 April 3 Commentary
March 10, 2003 March 10 Commentary
February 19, 2003 February 19 Commentary
January 31, 2003 January 31 Commentary
January 3, 2003 January 3 Commentary
November 27, 2002 November 27 Commentary
October 8, 2002 October 8 Commentary
September 18, 2002 What Is Roiling the Dow And Disturbing Global Economics?
August 26, 2002 August 26 Commentary
August 5, 2002 August 5 Commentary
June 28, 2002 June 28 Commentary
June 17, 2002 It's Too Weird To Call!
March 8, 2002 March 8 Commentary
February 14, 2002 Keeping an eye on silver...one of the most under-valued market sectors
February 11, 2002 A day early and a dollar short
January 7, 2002 The increased profit stage
December 10, 2001 New trades
November 28, 2001 Stocks that hit sell point
November 15, 2001 Don't look back
October 31, 2001 Reasons for stock picks


 © 2012 Kenneth Coleman's Investment Tracker. All Rights Reserved.
 Disclaimer  |  Privacy Policy

 Web Design by Snaptech